на головну сторінку незалежний культурологічний часопис <Ї>

   www.ji-magazine.lviv.ua
 

This is Ukraine today. C'est l'Ukraine d'aujourd'hui.

Dies ist die Ukraine heute. To jest Ukraina dzisiaj.

Esta es la actual Ucrania. Questo è l'Ucraina di oggi.

Esta é hoje a Ucrânia. Ukrajina je danas.

Это Украина сегодня. Це Україна сьогодні

12.02.2015

 

This is Ukraine today – February 12: "Normandy Four" negotiations concluded in Minsk with a disappointing result for Ukraine

 

60b43-00britanian

78862-00usa

624f4-00australia

28722-00canada

06449-00ireland

e9521-00new0zeland



U.S., UK, Canada, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa

 

February 12 – "Normandy Four" negotiations concluded in Minsk with a disappointing result for Ukraine. Putin did not give in on a single point – there will be no withdrawal of Russian troops (they are, of course, nowhere close to Ukraine), no immediate resumption of control over the border, no reinstatement of sovereignty over occupied Crimea or Donbas. There are, however, the obligations on behalf of Ukraine to service social needs of separatists, legalize their armed gangs and hold fake elections under their watchful eye. The situation looks a lot like the surrender of Sudetenland (Czechoslovakia) to Hitler.

February 12 – Total financial assistance to Ukraine from the IMF and other organizations could amount to 40 billion dollars over 4 years, – said IMF’s Managing Director Christine Lagarde.

February 12 – Russian Ministry for Emergency Situations has announced the preparations for the 14th so-called humanitarian aid convoy destined for Donbas – more weapons will be transported, no doubt.

February 12 – Russia has transferred another lot of military equipment and artillery to the territory of Ukraine, controlled by militants – approximately 50 tanks, 40 "Grad", "Uragan" and "Smerch" multiple rocket launch systems and 40 armored vehicles crossed Russian-Ukrainian border at border crossing point Izvaryne, – said NSDC spokesman Andriy Lysenko.

February 12 – The transfer of the amphibious assault ship “Vladivostok” (Mistral-class) to Russia could begin as early as next week.

February 12 – EU High Representative for Common Foreign and Security Policy Federica Mogherini does not expect sanctions against Russia to be discussed during the summit of EU member-states leaders to be held on Thursday.

February 12 – Secretary General of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) Lamberto Zannier hassaid that at present it is impossible to determine whether the militants in Donbas are also soldiers of the regular Russian army. OSCE has completely exhausted itself as a security-oriented organization.

February 12 - Agreements reached in Minsk during the meeting of the leaders of the countries     of the "Normandy quartet" are absolutely weak. This was stated by the President of Lithuania,      Dalia Grybaskaite, to journalists in Brussels before the EU Summit.  "The fundamental part of     the resolution is the control of the borders.  It was not agreed upon and not resolved," she noted.     "This means that the border is open for crossing by whatever soldiers and whatever artillery," remarked Grybaskaite.  "This means that the resolution is totally weak," emphasized the President of Lithuania.  She is also not very optimistic about the agreements on the cease-fire.

"Five months ago we already had one agreement about a cease-fire which was not implemented.  Let's see what happens with this one," underlined Grybaskaite.  "We will observe in the next few days how at least these partial agreements will be implemented," she added.

 

Timothy Ash: Minsk II peace deal likely won't last long

https://mail.google.com/mail/u/0/#inbox/14b7f39bd598c26b

Ukraine Update 2/11: Minsk Agreement II & the Wizard of Oz
http://www.brianmefford.net/ukraine-update-211-minsk-agreement-ii-wizard-oz/

Medics on Ukraine front lines

http://mashable.com/2015/02/05/medics-on-ukraine-frontlines/#:eyJzIjoiZyIsImkiOiJfbjdidnB3dGVsdHpoZDg2bCJ9

War is hell! (photo report from occupied Vuhlehirsk)

http://www.buzzfeed.com/gabrielsanchez/pictures-from-the-front-lines-of-ukraine?utm_term=.miPGmedLX#.iiZqo76pZ

 

Russia lies... great start to Minsk agreement (Savchenko cannot be released!!)

http://tass.ru/en/russia/777314

 

Timothy Ash
Ukraine - deal thoughts



I guess with hindsight, a deal was always going to be done. Merkel was not going to get on a flight to Minsk, after Kyiv, Moscow, and Berlin, and not get something. And Putin needed to try and rebuild some bridges with Merkel, after seemingly upsetting her at Brisbane. Merkel is probably the honest broker in all this. She really feels for the Ukrainian position, but understands the real threat from Russia - she reads Putin better than any other Western leader, and cannot be bought. But it is Bismark-style real politik for Merkel, and she was desperate to stop the fighting - almost at any cost, which is entirely understandable. Hollande will likely get his aircraft carriers delivered, and sees all this as offering the hope of ressurection in terms of his presidency at home - a global leader, strutting the international stage and making Cameron, et al look like poodles, or rather a bulldog with no teeth. Putin gets his aircraft carriers, which will no doubt have a nice shiny berth now awaiting in Sebastopol. Putin also fended off near term threats of sanctions from the West, and can sell himself to allies in Europe (there are many) as a peacemaker - again heading off further sanctions threats. He has also not agreed to very much, as I don't think his signature is on the document, so if it fails (and it likely will) he can blame others. He has also headed off the threat of the US arming Ukraine - and therein he is in cahoots with Obama himself, who will see this deal as being useful in fending off calls from the DC consensus (including within his own administration) now to arm Ukraine - and can return to his own "splendid isolation" or "strategic patience" as it is now called stateside. That's a nice term for doing as little as possible. Poroshenko gets his IMF programme, and can try and roll out reforms attached to this to try and assure the supporters of Maydan that this team is really the Real Deal in terms of the reforms they so desire. Note the IMF press release was timed for 10am, just as news of the Minsk deal broke - so my sense is that someone was telling the Ukrainians that an IMF deal was contingent on a Minsk ceasefire deal. No ceasefire - no IMF deal.  And the IMF gets to roll out its new programme, which it has been working on for months. Poroshenko probably also thinks that the ceasefire will buy time for Ukraine to regroup, rearm against the clear and present danger of further Russian intervention. But will it all stick/last? I just do not think so, as I still fail to see from this deal what is different to Minsk I in terms of delivery on Russian strategic objectives in Ukraine.  Minsk I clearly did not deliver for Russia, hence that ceasefire did not last long, so let's see what is really different this time around. The issues of real autonomy/federalism, and border control don't appear to be properly addressed in this document. Constitutional reform towards the Russian agenda will be impossible for Poroshenko to deliver. And finally and fundamentally why I do not think that the status quo is sustainable - one year ago Russia felt the need to annex Crimea, and intervene in eastern Ukraine. But one year ago Ukraine was no threat to Russia as a) it was non aligned; b) popular support for Nato membership was low single digits, and there was little support in parliament or amongst political elites to drive Ukraine NATO membership. C) the west really did not want Ukraine in NATO as they saw this as a red rag to the Russian bull, and as events have proved could not defend Ukraine under NATO's TOR; c) the Ukrainian military had limited fighting capability as was proven in the early days of the conflict, but subsequently changed; d) the govt in Kyiv was weak and disarray and the Ukrainian economy on the brink of collapse; e) and as events have proven Russia had de facto control of Crimea via the stationing of 26,000 troops and the long term BSF agreement. And f) and finally Ukrainians were not anti-russian or even particularly anti-Putin.  If Moscow was not a real threat a year ago, but Moscow felt compelled to intervene, look at the risk from a Russian perspective now from Ukraine - a) Ukraine is no longer non aligned. B) it now wants to join NATO and opinion polls now show majority support for this. C) Ukraine is rebuilding military capability and the military doctrine is now against the threat from Russia; d) Ukraine has a reform admin in Kyiv, which has a real chance of succeeding now with imf support. It can offer a rival and successful model of development to Putin's power vertical and sovereign democracy. E) Opinion polls show strong ukrainian opposition/distaste for the Putin regime. So, net-net the above still suggests the risk of further future Russian intervention in Ukraine.

 

P.S.: Please spread this appeal as much as possible.

 

215de-00france

d8f57-00belgique

7172e-00canada

a7a40-00swiss



France, Belgique, Canada, Suisse

Le 12 février – Les pourparlers avec « le format Normandie » sont terminés. Les résultats sont très décevants pour l’Ukraine. Poutine n’a pas bougé: pas de retrait des troupes étrangères qui, bien sûr, n’y sont pas, aucun rétablissement de contrôle à la frontière, pas de souveraineté de la Crimée occupée ou du Donbass occupé. De plus, l’Ukraine sera obligée de verser les allocations sociales aux séparatistes, légalisqnt ainsi leur gangs criminels... et organiser de fausses élections sous leur contrôle.
Cela rappelle étrangement la capitulation de l’Occident devant Hitler (abandon de la region sudète de la Tchécoslovaquie).

Le 12 février – Christine Lagarde, la présidente du FMI a déclaré que le montant total de l’aide financière du FMI et d’autres sources à l'Ukraine a atteint 40 milliards de dollars en quatre ans.

Le 12 février – Le Ministère de situations urgentes russe annonce les préparatifs pour l’envoi du 14ème soi-disant « convoi humanitaire » au Donbass... nouvelle livraison d’armes.
Le 12 février – « La Russie a transféré du matériel militaire et de l’artillerie sur les territoires actuellement contrôlés par les militants terroristes. On a fixé un mouvement régulier à la la frontière russo-ukrainienne près d’Izvarine - cinquante chars, quatre douzaines de MLRS Grad, Ouragan et Smertch, et le même nombre de véhicules blindés. » - le porte-parole de l’ATO, Andriy Lyssenko.

Le 12 février – La livraison du navire Mistral « Vladivostok » pourrait se faire la semaine prochaine.

Le 12 février - Federica Mogherini, la Haute représentante de l’UE pour la politique étrangère et la sécurité ne pense pas que la question des sanctions contre la Russie sera abordée au prochain sommet de l’UE.

Le 12 février - Le Secrétaire général de l’OSCE, Lamberto Zannier dit qu’à l'heure actuelle il est impossible de déterminer si les militants combattant dans le Donbass sont des troupes régulières de l’armée russe. L’OSCE est devenue complètement aveugle et inutile....

 

 

Les poupées russes de la propagande de Poutine en France

http://www.slate.fr/story/97835/IDC-russie-france-poutine

Lettre ouverte à TF1 (JT 20h

08/02/2015 reportage Donetsk)

http://tf1-propagande-pro-poutin.webnode.fr/?aw=1

Le philosophe Michel  Eltchaninoff dans la tête de Vladimir Poutine video

http://www.lepoint.fr/monde/ukraine-dans-la-tete-de-vladimir-poutine-10-02-2015-1903801_24.php

 


P.S.: Faîtes circuler cet appel, SVP!

 

 

97879-000000000



Україна

12 лютого - Завершилися переговори  "нормандської четвірки" у Мінську. Результат для України невтішний. Путін не поступився жодним пунктом. Немає ні виводу іноземних військ, яких, звісно, немає. Немає негайного відновлення контролю над кордоном. Немає встановлення суверенітету над окупованим Кримом чи Донбасом. Є зобовязання України оплачувати соціальні потреби сепаратистів, легалізувати їхні бандформування, і під їхнім контролем знову провести фейкові вибори. Дуже нагадує здачу Гітлеру Судетської області Чехословаччини.
12 лютого - Загальний обсяг фінансової допомоги Україні від МВФ і з інших джерел за 4 роки може становити 40 млрд доларів. Про це сказала глава МВФ Крістін Лагард
12 лютого - МНС РФ заявляє про підготовку до відправки 14-го так званого "гуманітарного конвою" на Донбас - знову підвезуть зброю.
12 лютого - Росія перекинула чергову партію військової техніки і артилерії на територію України, підконтрольну бойовикам - в районі населеного пункту Ізварине відбулося чергове переміщення через російсько-український кордон півсотні танків, 4 десятків реактивних систем залпового вогню "Град", "Ураган" та "Смерч" і такої ж кількості БТРів - речник АТО Андрій Лисенко.
12 лютого - Процес передачі  Росії десантного вертольотоносного корабля-доку "Владивосток" класу "Містраль" може бути запущений вже наступного тижня.
12 лютого - Високий представник ЄС з питань зовнішньої та безпекової політики Федеріка Могеріні не очікує, що на саміті лідерів країн Євросоюзу, який відбудеться в четвер, обговорюватиметься питання санкцій проти РФ.
12 лютого - Генеральний секретар ОБСЄ Ламберто Заньєр заявив, що на сьогоднішній день неможливо визначити,  чи є бойовики на Донбасі представниками регулярних частин російської армії. ОБСЄ себе остаточно вичерпала як інструмент.


Постскриптум: Будь ласка, розповсюдьте цю інформацію якомога ширше.

We exspress our sincere gratitude to the International Renaissance Foundation that supported this publication.
Висловлюємо вдячність Міжнародному фонду "Відродження" за підтримку цієї ініціативи.

 


Яндекс.Метрика